老年胶质母细胞瘤患者预后相关因素分析
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青年北京学者(NO.055);北京市医院管理中心“登峰”人才培养计划( DFL20240503);北京高等学校卓越青年科学家计划( JWZQ20240101026)


Factors associated with prognosis in elderly patients with glioblastoma
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    摘要:

    目的 探讨老年胶质母细胞瘤(GBM)患者预后独立的影响因素,为老年GBM 患者提供预 后评估方案。方法 回顾性分析2006 年6 月—2021 年6 月首都医科大学附属北京天坛医院神经肿瘤 外科五病区180 例老年GBM 患者的临床资料,并将其分为4 组,分别为A 组(复发GBM 患者)、B 组(因癫 痫就诊而诊断为原发GBM 的患者)、C 组(因包括偏瘫、失语和认知功能障碍等神经功能障碍就诊而诊断 为原发GBM 的患者)、D 组[因头痛和(或)呕吐等其他症状就诊而诊断为原发GBM 的患者]。通过住院 记录和随访记录中获得一般资料、中位生存期、病理学诊断。应用SPSS 27.0 软件进行单因素及多因素 Cox 回归和Kaplan-Meier生存分析,评估各危险因素与老年GBM 患者预后的相关性。结果 180 例GBM 患者中位总生存期为353 d,平均总生存期为550 d。单因素Cox 回归分析结果显示,年龄(HR=1.038, 95%CI=1.001~1.077,P=0.044)、术后放疗(HR=0.388,95%CI=0.255~0.592,P < 0.001)、术后化疗(HR= 0.530,95%CI=0.347~0.810,P=0.003)、肿瘤分子病理存在O6-甲基鸟嘌呤-DNA甲基转移酶(MGMT)启动 子甲基化状态(HR=0.632,95%CI=0.432~0.926,P=0.019)、术后卡诺夫斯基体能状态(KPS)评分(HR=0.972, 95%CI=0.957~0.987,P< 0.001)、肿瘤切除程度(HR=0.951,95%CI=0.940~0.962,P < 0.001)是老年 GBM 患者预后的影响因素。多因素Cox 回归分析结果显示,年龄(HR=1.074,95%CI=1.028~1.123, P=0.001)、术后放疗(HR=0.473,95%CI=0.283~0.789,P=0.004)、术后KPS 评分(HR=0.973,95%CI= 0.955~0.991,P=0.004)、肿瘤切除程度(HR=0.934,95%CI=0.917~0.951,P< 0.001)是老年GBM 患者预 后的影响因素。不同亚组分析结果显示,因头痛、呕吐或偶然发现的老年GBM 患者生存时间长于其他 组(P < 0.05),其他亚组间患者的生存时间比较差异无统计学意义(均P > 0.05)。利用CGGA 数据库分 析影响老年GBM 患者总生存期预后的影响因素,共纳入64 例患者,中位总生存期为373 d,平均总生存 期为598 d。单因素及多因素Cox 回归分析显示,术后放疗(HR=0.258, 95%CI=0.098~0.676,P=0.006) 及术后化疗(HR=0.294, 95%CI=0.146~0.594, P< 0.001)是老年GBM 患者总生存期的独立影响因素, 并且有利于患者的预后。CGGA 数据库收录的患者术后放疗与术后化疗的Kaplan-Meier 生存曲线分析 结果显示术后放疗或术后化疗均会显著延长患者的总生存期。结论 老年GBM 患者在保留神经功能 的基础上进行最大程度肿瘤切除,术后合并放化疗能显著延长患者的生存时间,在此前提下患者的年 龄越小生存时间越长。

    Abstract:

    Objective To explore independent prognostic factors in elderly patients with glioblastoma (GBM), so as to provide a prognostic assessment program for this population. Methods Clinical data from 180 elderly GBM patients in the Fifth Ward, Department of Neuro-oncology, Capital Medical University,between June 2006 and June 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided into four groups: Group A( patients with recurrent GBM), Group B( patients diagnosed with primary GBM after presenting for epilepsy), Group C( patients diagnosed with primary GBM after presenting for neurological disorders including hemiplegia, aphasia, and cognitive impairment), and Group D( patients diagnosed with primary GBM after presenting for other symptoms such as headache and/or vomiting). General information, median survival time, and pathological diagnosis were obtained from hospitalization and follow-up records. Single-factor and multi-factor Cox regression analysis and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis were performed using SPSS 27.0 to evaluate the association of various risk factors with the prognosis of elderly GBM patients. Results The median overall survival among 180 GBM patients was 353 days, with a mean overall survival of 550 days. Univariate Cox regression analysis showed that age[ HR=1.038, 95%CI( 1.001, 1.077), P=0.044], postoperative radiotherapy[ HR=0.388, 95%CI( 0.255,0.592),P < 0.001], postoperative chemotherapy[ HR=0.530, 95%CI( 0.347,0.810), P=0.003], tumor molecular pathology O6-methylguanine-DNA methyltransferase( MGMT) promoter methylation status[ HR=0.632, 95%CI( 0.432, 0.926), P=0.019], postoperative Karnofsky Performance Status( KPS) score [HR=0.972, 95%CI( 0.957, 0.987), P<0.001], degree of tumor resection[ HR=0.951, 95%CI( 0.940, 0.962), P<0.001] were prognostic factors for elderly patients with GBM. Subgroup analysis revealed that elderly GBM patients diagnosed due to headache, vomiting, or incidental findings exhibited longer survival times than other subgroups, with statistically significant differences( P<0.05). Survival times among other subgroups showed no statistically significant differences( all P>0.05). Based on the Chinese Glioma Genome Atlas( CGGA) database, factors influencing overall survival prognosis in elderly GBM patients were analyzed, and a total of 64 patients were included, with a median overall survival of 373 days and a mean overall survival of 598 days. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that postoperative radiotherapy[ HR=0.258, 95%CI( 0.098, 0.676), P=0.006] and postoperative chemotherapy[ HR=0.294, 95%CI( 0.146, 0.594),P<0.001] were identified as independent factors influencing overall survival in elderly GBM patients, demonstrating favorable prognostic effects. Analysis of Kaplan-Meier survival curve for postoperative radiotherapy and postoperative chemotherapy in patients enrolled in the CGGA database indicated that both postoperative radiotherapy and postoperative chemotherapy significantly prolonged overall survival. Conclusions For elderly GBM patients, undergoing maximal tumor resection while preserving neurological function, followed by postoperative chemoradiotherapy, significantly prolongs survival times. Under these conditions, younger patients demonstrate longer survival times.

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崔中亮,李子为,王地,潘长青,赵崇舜,王晨,张嘉政,孙翌朔,赵大川,马佩珩,张伟.老年胶质母细胞瘤患者预后相关因素分析[J].神经疾病与精神卫生,2025,25(11):783-
DOI :10.3969/j. issn.1009-6574.2025.11.004.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-11-21