Evaluation of predictive validity of the Chinese version of the schizophrenia early signs scale
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    Abstract:

    Objective To evaluate the predictive validity of the Chinese version of the schizophrenia early signs scale (ESS-C). Methods A total of 70 patients with schizophrenia discharged from 6 mental health centers in Hongkou, Baoshan, Jiading, Songjiang, Changning and Xuhui districs of Shanghai from March to June 2018 were recruited. All patients were assessed by ESS-C and Positive and Negative Symptom Scale (PANSS) every 2 weeks until disease recurrence or follow-up for 6 months. The ESS-C scale scores of the recurrence group and the non-recurrence group were compared, and the predictive validity of the ESS-C was evaluated by constructing the curve of receiver operating characteristic (ROC). Results Compared with the non-recurrence group, the scores of all dimensions and total scores of ESS-C in the last evaluation in the relapse group were higher, and the differences were statistically significant (P< 0.05). The scale discriminative performance was good. The area under the ROC curve was 0.886, 95%CI valued from 0.803 to 0.970. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value were 78.6%, 89.3%, 64.7% and 94.3%, respectively, with 21.5 points as the optimal cut-off value for recurrence. Conclusions The ESS-C has good predictive accuracy and is a simple and reliable tool for evaluating the relapse of schizophrenia in the community.

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  • Online: December 29,2021
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